Why I think the AstraZeneca share price could crush the FTSE 100 this year

AstraZeneca plc (LON: AZN) appears to offer better value for money than the FTSE 100.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

With the FTSE 100 having experienced weak performance in recent months, there appear to be a number of stocks which offer good value for money. One example is AstraZeneca (LSE: AZN). The pharmaceutical stock has slumped by 15% since mid-November, and could now offer a wide margin of safety.

With the company expected to return to profit growth in 2019, its valuation could become increasingly attractive. Alongside a stock which released a production update on Monday, it could offer FTSE 100-beating performance in 2019.

Low valuation

The stock in question is Petra Diamonds (LSE: PDL). Its production in the six months to 31 December was relatively solid, with it reaching consistent levels. During the period, its production increased by 10%, and it is on track to deliver full year production of between 3.8 and 4 Mcts. Rising production led to an increase in revenue of 8%, with it reaching $201.1m.

Rough diamond prices reduced by 4% on a like-for-like basis compared to the second half of the previous year. This was due to seasonal weakness. The product mix during the period, especially at the company’s Cullinan mine, yielded prices which were at the lower end of historical ranges.

Looking ahead, Petra Diamonds is expected to report a doubling of its earnings in the current year. This puts it on a price-to-earnings growth (PEG) ratio of 0.1, which suggests that it offers a wide margin of safety. While its financial performance is likely to be relatively volatile, the company’s low valuation and growth potential could make it of interest to less risk-averse investors.

Improving outlook

While the performance of the AstraZeneca share price has disappointed of late, the company’s financial prospects are expected to improve. It is forecast to record a rise in earnings of 13% this year, which may lead to improving investor sentiment.

The company may also become more popular among investors as a result of the nature of its business. As a pharmaceutical stock, its financial performance may be less closely correlated to the wider economy than is the case for many of its FTSE 100 peers. Given that investors remain cautious about the outlook for the world economy, with risks such as a slowing China and rising US interest rates ahead, stocks with defensive characteristics could become increasingly popular.

Additionally, with AstraZeneca having long-term growth potential from investment in its pipeline, it may become an increasingly in-demand share. Its PEG ratio of 1.7 may not be among the lowest in the FTSE 100, but from a value perspective it seems to be fairly priced. Having outperformed the FTSE 100 by 36% in the last five years during an era when its earnings have consistently declined, a growing bottom line could mean that in 2019 and over the coming years it is able to beat the index by an even larger margin. As such, now could be the perfect time to buy it.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Peter Stephens owns shares of AstraZeneca. The Motley Fool UK has recommended AstraZeneca. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Fireworks display in the shape of willow at Newcastle, Co. Down , Northern Ireland at Halloween.
Investing Articles

Why the IDS share price could leap next week!

On 17 April, the IDS share price skyrocketed after a foreign bidder made a takeover approach. But time is rapidly…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Could this FTSE 250 stock be the next Rolls-Royce?

With its debt coming down, its free cash flow going up, and a recovery in demand for cruises, could FTSE…

Read more »

Warren Buffett at a Berkshire Hathaway AGM
Investing Articles

Gold won’t earn me passive income. Investing £9 a week like this will!

Christopher Ruane explains how, learning from billionaire Warren Buffett, he'd aim to set up passive income streams for under £10…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Here’s why I’ve changed my mind about buying dividend stocks for passive income

Can buying dividend stocks for passive income actually work out well for investors? Here’s the unvarnished truth.

Read more »

Young female hand showing five fingers.
Investing Articles

5 things the stock market taught me these last 5 years

After reaching new highs in early 2020, Covid-19 collapsed stock markets. Almost five years later, I look back on five…

Read more »

Young woman working at modern office. Technical price graph and indicator, red and green candlestick chart and stock trading computer screen background.
Investing Articles

Could this British AI stock be a future NVIDIA?

This British AI stock has seen revenues soar, but so far its share price has been a bitter disappointment for…

Read more »

British Pennies on a Pound Note
Investing Articles

Down 85%, is this value share a bargain in plain sight?

This UK value share sells for pennies despite owning a brand familiar from roads across the country. Is it the…

Read more »

Investing Articles

As Rolls-Royce shares hit a new high, could they double again?

Christopher Ruane lays out some attractions and risks he sees in the rising Rolls-Royce share price -- and whether he…

Read more »